Political Betting–2016 Voting Odds For Individual States
We’ve talked primarily about the 2016 US Presidential election but now we’ll turn our attention to what’s going on in the individual states. There are (in some cases contentious) ballot measures up for vote in some states with quite a few regarding the legalization/decriminalization of marijuana. We’ll also look at the Presidential race in some of the states along with a few Senate/House matchups.
Here’s a disclaimer–before you take a position on any of the ballot measures it’s important to do some research into what they actually say. There are times when a ballot measure may appear to be ‘pro’ some issue or another but those in favor of said issue oppose it for a variety of reasons. For example, there have been instances of a state putting a marijuana legalization measure on the ballot only to have the forces in favor of legalization oppose it because it limits access or otherwise provides a too restrictive environment.
INDIVIDUAL STATE VOTING SPECIALS
NEVADA
Will Nevada voters approve the marijuana legalization ballot measure? (Ballot Question #2)
Yes: -120
No: +100
Here’s the wording of the ballot measure:
Shall the Nevada Revised Statutes be amended to allow a person, 21 years old or older, to purchase, cultivate, possess, or consume a certain amount of marijuana or concentrated marijuana, as well as manufacture, possess, use, transport, purchase, distribute, or sell marijuana paraphernalia; impose a 15 percent excise tax on wholesale sales of marijuana; require the regulation and licensing of marijuana cultivators, testing facilities, distributors, suppliers, and retailers; and provide for certain criminal penalties?
ADDITIONAL NEVADA BALLOT QUESTION #2 INFORMATION
Who will win the Nevada Senate race?
Joe Heck(Republican): +375
Catherine Cortez Masto(Democrat): -450
Who will win the popular vote for President in Nevada?
Hillary Clinton: -450
Donald Trump: +375
CALIFORNIA
Will California voters approve the marijuana legalization ballot measure? (Proposition 64)
Yes: -1900
No: +1650
Legalizes marijuana under state law, for use by adults 21 or older. Imposes state taxes on sales and cultivation. Provides for industry licensing and establishes standards for marijuana products. Allows local regulation and taxation. Fiscal Impact: Additional tax revenues ranging from high hundreds of millions of dollars to over $1 billion annually, mostly dedicated to specific purposes. Reduced criminal justice costs of tens of millions of dollars annually
ADDITIONAL CALIFORNIA PROPOSITION 64 INFORMATION
Will California voters approve the condoms in adult films ballot measure? (Proposition 60)
Yes: +145
No: -185
Requires adult film performers to use condoms during filming of sexual intercourse. Requires producers to pay for performer vaccinations, testing, and medical examinations. Requires producers to post condom requirement at film sites. Fiscal Impact: Likely reduction of state and local tax revenues of several million dollars annually. Increased state spending that could exceed $1 million annually on regulation, partially offset by new fees.
ADDITIONAL CALIFORNIA PROPOSITION 60 INFORMATION
Who will win the popular vote for President in California?
Hillary Clinton: -20000
Donald Trump: +12500
Who will win the vote for California’s open Senate seat vacated by Barbara Boxer?
Kamala Harris: -1950
Loretta Sanchez: +1700
Who will win the vote for California’s 49th Congressional District seat?
Darrell Issa(Republican): -250
Doug Applegate(Democrat): +175
NORTH CAROLINA
Who will win the vote for Governor of North Carolina?
Pat McCrory(Republican): +250
Roy Cooper(Democrat): -375
Who will win the popular vote for President in North Carolina?
Hillary Clinton: -350
Donald Trump: +250
Stay tuned for more individual state voting prop bet odds!