2018 FIDE Candidates Tournament Round 10 Chess Betting Odds

–Chess is a surprisingly popular game among bettors–particularly in Europe.

–Magnus Carlsen is the reigning World Champion, a title he’s held since 2013.

–The tenth round of the FIDE Candidates Tournament to select the next World Championship challenger will take place on Thursday, March 22

The second half of the 2018 FIDE Candidates Tournament is at the midway point and at the moment it’s a two man competition. Fabiano Caruana beat Levon Aronian who was in a veritable ‘must win’ situation. It’s been a horrible tournament for Aronian who entered this event as the favorite. Shakhriyar Mamedyarov settled for a draw in his game against Alexander Grischuk. That leaves Caruana in sole possession of first place with Mamedyarov 1/2 point behind. Alexander Grischuk is the next on the table with 5 points leaving Ding Liren, and Sergey Karjakin in the next tier of competitors with 3.5 points.

Caruana had an opportunity to go a full point up on the rest of the field in his Round 9 game against Ding Liren but suffered a rare lapse in focus late:

“It’s kind of silly because I was looking at this. Somehow 68. h7 completely slipped my attention. Once you see it, it’s pretty obvious; it’s a pretty simple tactic if I had a few minutes. So I should have found it.”

He did catch a break with Shakhriyar Mamedyarov having to settle for a draw against struggling Levon Aronian. Aronian was in the better position before committing what he called a ‘crazy blunder’ snatching the draw from the ‘jaws of victory’.

These storylines set up the big Thursday matchup between Caruna and Mamedyarov. Mamedyarov has held his own against Caruna with 3 wins against 3 losses and 9 draws including one stalemate earlier in this tournament. Unfortunately for him, another draw might doom his chances to catch Caruna. Right now Caruna holds the second tiebreaker with 3 tournament wins against 2 for Caruna. Thursday’s match against Caruna might not be a ‘must win’ for Mamedyarov but it would sure help him to get a win. Caruna would no doubt be content with another draw.

STANDINGS THROUGH ROUND 10

Fabiano Caruana: 6
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov: 5.5
Alexander Grischuk: 5
Sergey Karjakin: 4.5
Ding Liren: 4.5
Vladimir Kramnik: 3.5
Wesley So: 3.5
Levon Aronian: 3.5

Here are the updated odds for the 2018 FIDE Challengers Tournament along with the Round 10 matchups. Round 10 will start at 2:00 PM Berlin Time on Thursday which is 10:00 AM Eastern:

2018 FIDE CANDIDATES TOURNAMENT BETTING ODDS UPDATED MARCH 21, 2018

ODDS TO WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT

Fabiano Caruana: -150
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov: +200
Alexander Grischuk: +700
Sergey Karjakin: +1200
Ding Liren: +1200
Vladimir Kramnik: +7500
Wesley So: +7500
Levon Aronian: +7500

YES/NO ODDS TO WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT

WILL FABIANO CARUANA WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: -150
No: +130

WILL SHAKHRIYAR MAMEDYAROV WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: +200
No: -230

WILL ALEXANDER GRISCHUK WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: +700
No: -2500

WILL DING LIREN WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: +1500
No: -5000

WILL SERGEY KARJAKIN WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: +1500
No: -5000

WILL VLADIMIR KRAMNIK WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: +7500
No: -25000

WILL LEVON ARONIAN WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: +7500
No: -25000

WILL WESLEY SO WIN 2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT?

Yes: +7500
No: -25000

2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT ROUND TEN PROPOSITION ODDS

WILL ALL FOUR ROUND TEN GAMES END IN A DRAW?

Yes: +350
No: -700

WILL ALL FOUR ROUND TEN GAMES END IN A VICTORY?

Yes: +1000
No: -2500

NUMBER OF DRAWS IN ROUND TEN?

0: +1000
1: +300
2: +125
3: +300
4: +350

2018 CHALLENGERS TOURNAMENT ROUND TEN MATCHUP ODDS

LEVON ARONIAN VS. VLADIMIR KRAMNIK

Levon Aronian: +600
Vladimir Kramnik: +350
Draw: -220

Levon Aronian: +180
Vladimir Kramnik: -210
Draw will be graded as a ‘push’

Levon Aronian/Draw: -500
Levon Aronian/Vladimir Kramnik: +175
Vladimir Kramnik/Draw: -1200

Levon Aronian/Vladimir Kramnik Over 42.5 Moves: +110
Levon Aronian/Vladimir Kramnik Under 42.5 Moves: -130

Levon Aronian/Vladimir Kramnik Total Moves Odd: -115
Levon Aronian/Vladimir Kramnik Total Moves Even: -115

FABIANO CARUANA VS. SHAKHRIYAR MAMEDYAROV

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov: +250
Fabiano Caruana: +600
Draw: -150

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov: -210
Fabiano Caruana: +180
Draw will be graded as a ‘push’

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov/Draw: -950
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov/Fabiano Caruana: +150
Fabiano Caruana/Draw: -350

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov/Fabiano Caruana Over 42.5 Moves: -175
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov/Fabiano Caruana Under 42.5 Moves: +150

Shakhriyar Mamedyarov/Fabiano Caruana Total Moves Odd: -115
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov/Fabiano Caruana Total Moves Even: -115

SERGEY KARJAKIN VS. ALEXANDER GRISCHUK

Sergey Karjakin: +650
Alexander Grischuk: +300
Draw: -225

Sergey Karjakin: +180
Alexander Grischuk: -210
Draw will be graded as a ‘push’

Sergey Karjakin/Draw: -450
Sergey Karjakin/Alexander Grischuk: +175
Alexander Grischuk/Draw: -1200

Sergey Karjakin/Alexander Grischuk Over 40.5 Moves: -150
Sergey Karjakin/Alexander Grischuk Under 40.5 Moves: +130

Sergey Karjakin/Alexander Grischuk Total Moves Odd: -115
Sergey Karjakin/Alexander Grischuk Total Moves Even: -115

WESLEY SO VS. DING LIREN

Wesley So: +650
Ding Liren: +425
Draw: -250

Wesley So: +150
Ding Liren: -175
Draw will be graded as a ‘push’

Wesley So/Draw: -1500
Wesley So/Ding Liren: +200
Ding Liren/Draw: -500

Wesley So/Ding Liren Over 40.5 Moves: +110
Wesley So/Ding Liren Under 40.5 Moves: -130

Wesley So/Ding Liren Total Moves Odd: -115
Wesley So/Ding Liren Total Moves Even: -115

MAGNUS CARLSEN/2018 WORLD CHESS CHAMPIONSHIP PROPOSITION ODDS

MAGNUS CARLSEN’S FIDE CLASSIC RATING ON 12/31/18?

Less than 2800: +850
2800-2849: +250
2850-2899: -300
Over 2900: +1500
Carlsen’s March 2018 FIDE Classic Rating is 2843

TO WIN 2018 WORLD CHESS CHAMPIONSHIP (NOVEMBER 7-28, 2018)

Magnus Carlsen: -300
Any other player: +250

TO WIN 2018 WORLD CHESS CHAMPIONSHIP (NOVEMBER 7-28, 2018)

Magnus Carlsen: -300
Fabiano Caruana: +500
Shakhriyar Mamedyarov: +750
Vladimir Kramnik: +2500
Levon Aronian: +2500
Ding Liren: +2500
Sergey Karjakin: +2500
Wesley So: +2500
Alexander Grischuk: +2500

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.