Donald Trump Proposition Betting Odds for 2/27/17
–More so than any other President in history, Donald Trump is a goldmine for proposition bets.
–Many European sportsbooks offer ‘sucker bet’ odds to play on anti-Trump sentiment.
–SPORTS BETTING EXPERTS is your source for weekly Donald Trump prop bet odds
Another week and we’ve got some more Donald Trump proposition betting odds. This is the first of our ‘weekly’ odds updates on America’s 45th President who has been a boon for proposition betting. Trump is the ‘perfect storm’ for prop bets–he’s somewhat unpredictable and highly controversial. There’s an inordinately large amount of public interest and media coverage even by the standards of former US Presidents. As much as the mainstream media clearly loathes Trump they can’t stop giving him airtime and coverage. Obviously, any President will get his fair share of media attention but this started even before Trump with the Republican nominee. The mainstream media–and particularly the left leaning media–was full of contempt for Trump but never got the clue that the more they vilified him the more his appeal among their political opponents grew. Of course, the left isn’t alone in their ‘full court press’ with this strategy. The Republicans had almost as much contempt for Trump as the left leaning Democrats. By the time they figured out that he was a viable candidate they had completely alienated his supporter base. At that point all it took for Trump to become President was for the equally loathsome Hillary Clinton to run one of the most bone headed campaigns in US political history.
SAME OLD SONG AND DANCE
The same dynamic has continued into Trump’s Presidency. The left remains apoplectic at everything Trump does and that has the obvious result. It might make them feel like they’re ‘fighting the good fight’ but that doesn’t resonate with the ‘average Americans’ they need to embrace to return to the White House. To begin with, many people are well aware of their complete capitulation to Barack Obama over the past eight years as he continued Bush’s foreign policy, kept randomly lobbing drones into Middle Eastern countries hoping to hit a ‘terrorist’ or two and reprised the classic ‘Weapons of Mass Destruction’ gag trying to justify his desperate desire to go to war with Syria. Domestically, it was more oppression of whistleblowers, more surveillance and more attacks on civil liberties. The roughly 50% of the country that is smart enough to disassociate themselves from the partisan political side show has a variety of reasons for checking out of the process. It runs the gamut from principled philosophical opposition to just not wanting to put pants on and leave the house. Still, there’s enough of them that actually remember the past eight years and the left’s dewy eyed reverence for anything that Obama said–even if his actions were diametrically opposed to his own words–to take them seriously.
The bigger problem is that the left’s protests about *everything* that Trump says, does or thinks is falling on deaf ears outside of their coterie of ‘fellow travelers’. This doesn’t even include the significant portion of the American electorate that considers the left’s disdain for Trump a ‘feature not a bug’. It’s the old ‘Boy Who Cried Wolf‘ scenario–if everything that Trump does is met with the same level of indignation from the left people stop paying attention. It also means if Trump does do something that is a legitimate threat to the fabric of the US political system no one will be listening thinking it’s just the same knee jerk display of phony opposition based on the same ‘principles’ that they mothballed during the Obama Administration. The left has every right to despise Trump but if they’re going to get the ‘non believers’ who comprise around 70 to 75 percent of the US electorate on board they’ve got to do better than their non stop carping about how ‘icky’ he is. That’s the same sort of insular arrogance and political tone deafness that got him elected in the first place. In fact, if anything good has come out of Trump’s improbable ascension to the highest office in the land its the complete marginalization of *both* major political parties. It’s hard to figure out whether the ‘old guard’ Republicans or the Democrats are in worse shape at the national party level right now and that portents well for their continued irrelevance.
Looking at the polling data the sum total of the left’s borderline pathological obsession with Trump has been a negligible hit to his job approval numbers. Take a look at the ‘Trump Job Approval’ polling average from RealClearPolitics and you’ll see just how ineffective the left’s vilification of Trump has been. When Trump was inaugurated he had a 44.3% approval rating. Currently, his job approval rating is at 43.8%. That’s a fractional difference and while it may be off of his high of 46% it’s well above his low water mark. His ‘disapproval’ rating has increased but that could be due to a confluence of factors including opportunistic polling methodology (you’ll remember that from the 2016 election). The left’s strident opposition to Trump might be winning over some of the same fickle ‘undecideds’ that abandoned them on election day but it’s done almost nothing to erode his support base. That’s not the least bit shocking since everyone except Trump’s supporters and his opponents on the left (and ‘left leaning’ undecideds) has tuned out the entire freakshow that is the American political process.
TRUMP’S ADDRESS TO A JOINT SESSION OF CONGRESS
This is a big week for the Trump Presidency as he’ll address a joint session of Congress on Tuesday in what is nominally his first ‘State of the Union Address’. It’s not *really* his first ‘State of the Union Address’ since that designation was dropped in 1989 for the incoming President but it’ll be his first major speech to a joint session of Congress and to the nation. It’s such a big deal that we’ve got a separate group of betting odds for Trump’s ‘not the State of the Union Address’.
With the Joint Session of Congress Address upcoming there hasn’t been much significant activity on the Trump front this week and the betting odds reflect that:
DONALD TRUMP PRESIDENTIAL PROPOSITION BETTING ODDS FOR WEEK OF 2/27/17
Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: -750
No: +500
Donald Trump total Tweets from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 52.5: -170
Under 52.5: +150
Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘dishonest’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 2.5: +130
Under 2.5: -150
Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘fake’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 4.5: -120
Under 4.5: +100
Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘great’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 3.5: -150
Under 3.5: +130
Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘illegal’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 1.5: +110
Under 1.5: -130
Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘sad’ from 2/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 3/5/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 1.5: +120
Under 1.5: -140
Which of these Donald Trump appointees will be the next to leave their job (fired or resigned)?
Sean Spicer: +450
Rex Tillerson: +750
Jeff Sessions: +750
Betsy DeVoss: +750
Kellyanne Conway: +750
James Mattis: +1150
Rick Perry: +1150
Steve Bannon: +1150
Ben Carson: +1150
Alexander Acosta: +1500
Elaine Chao: +2100
Ryan Zinke: +2100
Sonny Purdue: +2100
Steven Mnuchin: +2750
Wilbur Ross: +2750
Tom Price: +2750
John F. Kelly: +2750
Reince Priebus: +2750
Mike Pence: +4500
Will Donald Trump back Taiwanese Independence?
Yes: +370
No: -525
Will construction begin on Trump’s wall between the US and Mexico during 2017?
Yes: +500
No: -700
Will Donald Trump veto legislation by 11:59 AM Pacific on 4/30/17?
Yes: +600
No: -750
Will a US State declare independence before 12/31/18?
Yes: +7500
No: -12500
Will Janet Yellen be Federal Reserve Chair at 12:00 midnight Eastern on August 1, 2017?
Yes: -900
No: +750
Will Richard Cordray be Consumer Financial Protection Board Chairman at 12:00 midnight Eastern on August 1, 2017?
Yes: -125
No: +105
Next retailer to stop selling Ivanka Trump’s clothing line regardless of the reason?
TJ Maxx: +150
Amazon: +300
Zappos: +450
Sears: +900
Macy’s: +900
Walmart: +1000
Bloomingdale’s: +1000
Dillards: +1500
Individual Federal Income Tax cut by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: -450
No: +375
Individual Federal Income Tax cut by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: -375
No: +325
Will carried interest be taxed as ‘ordinary income’ by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: +375
No: -600
Will President Trump throw a ceremonial first pitch on opening day of the Major League Baseball season (April 2 or 3)?
Yes: -125
No: +105
Will President Trump attend a Washington Capitals NHL regular season or playoff hockey game by 7/1/17?
Yes: +300
No: -350
The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 3/1/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?
Over $900: -750
Under $900: +600
The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 3/1/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?
Over $1000: -500
Under $1000: +450
The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 3/1/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?
Over $1100: -250
Under $1100: +210
The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 3/1/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?
Over $1200: +150
Under $1200: -170
Polling and Public Opinion Propositions
President Trump’s average overall approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 3/7/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 44.5%: -120
Under 44.5%: +100
President Trump’s average economic issues approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 3/7/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 45.5%: -150
Under 45.5%: +130
President Trump’s average foreign policy approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 3/7/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 38.5%: -120
Under 38.5%: +100
Congressional average job approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 3/7/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 21.5%: -110
Under 21.5%: -110
‘Direction of Country-right direction’ rating at RealClearPolitics on 3/7/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Over 36.5%: -140
Under 36.5%: +120
Affordable Care Act (ACA)/’Obamacare’ Propositions
There’s several European sportsbooks offering prop bets on the repeal of ‘Obamacare’ aka the Affordable Care Act. The problem with this is that it’s highly unlikely that the entire ACA will be repealed in ‘one fell swoop’. For that reason, we’ve divided it up into its various components with odds for each:
Will the ACA Preexisting Condition Provision be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: +600
No: -750
Will the ACA Individual Mandate be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: +155
No: -175
Will the ACA Income Tax Subsidy be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: +130
No: -150
Will the ACA Employer Mandate be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: +110
No: -130
Will the ACA Medical Device Tax be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?
Yes: -250
No: +210
All markets and prices current as of February 27, 2017