‘American Idol’ Season 16 Finals Week 2 Betting Odds

–This is the 16th season for the long running reality show.

–’American Idol’ was on Fox for the first 15 seasons, this is the show’s first season on ABC.

–’American Idol’ Season 16 Finals Week 2 airs on Sunday, April 29 at 8:00 PM Eastern/5 PM Pacific. Results will be announced on Monday, April 30.

Last week in my ‘American Idol’ Top 14 writeup I suggested that the show was a cinch to be renewed for another season. That’s probably still the case though there are a few signs of potential trouble. The Sunday, April 15 episode put up an all time low rating number though it did rebound this week. Another potential issue–there were at least a few critics that weren’t impressed with *any* of the contestants. A month ago the perpetually miserable crew at The Atlantic called the show ‘eerily upbeat’ though since the magazine exists in a world where the lives of every individual should have stopped on a dime following Hillary Clinton’s electoral defeat in 2016 that’s not really a big deal. As far as I can recollect, the show has always been ‘eerily upbeat’–at least it would seem that way to someone who was of the opinion that the sky is falling because their preferred political party didn’t win the presidency.

We’ll recap some of the bigger stories this season. Oddly enough, the biggest ‘news’ this season has been two Katy Perry ‘wardrobe malfunctions’. If you’re thinking there was any bare ass on TV you don’t know this show. Both times, Perry’s backside was tastefully covered with the ‘American Idol’ logo. The multiple Katy Perry exposures did give me an excuse to come up with a few prop bets dealing with the fracas. We’ve got several proposition wagers that reference the Perry wardrobe mishaps.

As to the numeration of the episodes–Technically this *isn’t* Season 16 of ‘American Idol’ but Season 1 of the ‘Idol’ revival on ABC. That notwithstanding, I’m going to refer to it as ‘Season 16’. The next dilemma is how to refer to the episodes numerically–this writeup technically covers Episodes 15 and 16 but since we just picked up coverage with the Final 14 and are now into the Final 10 we’ll go with ‘Finals Week 2’. We’ll continue to update every week until a Season 16 winner is crowned.

One interesting note about the show–the Sunday show for the next three weeks will be airing live coast to coast so it’ll start at 8:00 PM Eastern and 5:00 PM Pacific. This is supposedly the first time in the history of American television that this has been done for a reality TV show.

Here are the odds to win ‘American Idol’ Season 16 along with some Finals Week 2 props:

AMERICAN IDOL SEASON 16 BETTING ODDS

TO WIN AMERICAN IDOL SEASON 16

Ada Vox: +250
Gabby Barrett: +300
Jurnee: +450
Cade Foehner: +750
Catie Turner: +750
Michael J. Woodward: +1500
Caleb Lee Hutchinson: +1500
Maddie Poppe: +1500
Dennis Lorenzo: +1500
Michelle Sussett: +1500

WILL JUDGE KATY PERRY EXPERIENCE A WARDROBE MALFUNCTION’ BETWEEN THE START OF THE APRIL 29 EPISODE AND THE END OF THE SEASON?

Yes: +300
No: -350

Perry must experience a ‘wardrobe malfunction’ that is mentioned on air between the beginning of the April 29 ‘American Idol’ broadcast and the end of the season.

WILL ABC RENEW ‘AMERICAN IDOL’ FOR THE 2018-2019 TV SEASON?

Yes: -250
No: +210

AMERICAN IDOL SEASON 16 FINALS WEEK 2 BETTING ODDS

AMERICAN IDOL SEASON 16 TO MAKE TOP 7

Will Gabby Barrett make the Top 7?

Yes: -600
No: +450

Will Cade Foehner make the Top 7?

Yes: -600
No: +450

Will Caleb Lee Hutchinson make the Top 7?

Yes: -250
No: +210

Will Jurnee make the Top 7?

Yes: -750
No: +600

Will Dennis Lorenzo make the Top 7?
Yes: +210
No: -250

Will Maddie Poppe make the Top 7?

Yes: -350
No: +300

Will Michelle Sussett make the Top 7?

Yes: +300
No: -350

Will Catie Turner make the Top 7?

Yes: -350
No: +300

Will Ada Vox make the Top 7?

Yes: -750
No: +600

Will Michael J. Woodward make the Top 7?

Yes: +210
No: -250

AMERICAN IDOL SEASON 16 FINALS WEEK 2 PROPOSITION ODDS

WILL JUDGE KATY PERRY EXPERIENCE A ‘WARDROBE MALFUNCTION’ IN FINALS WEEK 2?

Yes: +450
No: -600

WILL JUDGE LUKE BRYAN EXPERIENCE A ‘WARDROBE MALFUNCTION’ IN FINALS WEEK 2?

Yes: +2500
No: -5000

WILL JUDGE LIONEL RICHIE EXPERIENCE A ‘WARDROBE MALFUNCTION’ IN FINALS WEEK 2?

Yes: +2500
No: -5000

Judge must experience a ‘wardrobe malfunction’ that is mentioned on air during the April 29 or April 30 ‘American Idol’ broadcast

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 29 EPISODE KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.5: +130
1.5 or lower: -150

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 29 EPISODE KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

6 or higher: +110
Under 6: -130

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 29 EPISODE TOTAL VIEWERS

Over 7.5 million: +120
Under 7.5 million: -140

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 29 EPISODE NIELSEN RANKING (4/23/18 through 4/29/18)

Over 12.5: -125
Under 12.5: +105

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 30 EPISODE KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.5: +110
Under 1.5: -130

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 30 EPISODE KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

6: -210
Not 6: +180

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 30 EPISODE TOTAL VIEWERS

Over 7.5 million: +150
Under 7.5 million: -170

FINALS WEEK 2 APRIL 30 EPISODE NIELSEN RANKING (4/30/18 through 5/6/18)

Over 12.5: -125
Under 12.5: +105

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.