‘Big Brother’ Season 19 Week 5 Betting Odds
–CBS has renewed the long running ‘Big Brother’ reality show for a 19th and 20th season.
–’Big Brother’ is a spin-off of a Dutch TV series of the same name.
–’Big Brother’ airs Wednesday, Thursday and Sunday on CBS TV.
The events of the last week underscore why it’s not always easy to set odds on reality television. More about that in a moment. The latest ‘Big Brother’ houseguest to be sent packing is Dominique Cooper. Cooper was eliminated by unanimous vote which means that she’ll finish 13th. I think.
I equivocate on Ms. Cooper’s final ranking because of a twist in the show that I hadn’t factored into the linesmaking process–the ‘Battle Back’ episode. Basically, the first few houseguests that get evicted compete in a special competition with the winner getting back into the game and back into the house. This twist was added to last year’s competition and the producers thought it should return. Here’s Executive Producers Allison Grodner and Rich Meehan:
“Viewers responded well to the Battle Back last year so we thought we would try it again this summer, but with a twist. We approach every season differently and whether or not we want to being back evictees.”
Cody Nickson won the ‘Battle Back’ competition and is now back in the house. So did he finish 14th? Not technically, since he can now go on and win the show. The problem with this is that ‘Bookmaking 101’ dictates that anything that happens after the bet is graded that changes the outcome doesn’t matter. For example, if you bet on the USC Trojans to win the National Championship in college football in 2004 that’s what happened for betting purposes. Football fans know that the USC 2004 Championship was vacated in 2011 due to shenanigans related to Reggie Bush. You can’t dig around your attic and pull out a ticket on Auburn–the Tigers went 13-0 in 2004 and finished second in the polling–and try to cash it 7 years later. Nor do you have to send your sportsbook a check for the winnings you may have received on USC in 2004.
So Nickson was the fourth contestant eliminated meaning that he finished in 14th place. I haven’t exactly figured out what to do now that he’s back in the game. I’ll might have to add him back into the odds and I guess I’ll set up a market for another elimination place with an asterisk. Alternately, I could pretend he doesn’t exist for wagering purposes. He was graded 14th and under this scenario I’d keep the odds as they are and would just ‘skip’ Cody when he’s eliminated again. I’m leaning toward the latter but want to consider the implications of doing so. I’m going to think about it for a week to figure it all out and to see how things shake out on this week’s episodes. Cody’s return could change the dynamic of the game–his in-house main squeeze Jessica Graf holds the ‘Halting Hex’ which means she can stop one of the next three live evictions. It also means that the two could make life difficult for Paul Abrahamian who currently ranks among the favorites to win.
The sum total of all of this? The odds below have been updated based on Dominique Cooper’s departure but do not factor in Cody Nickson’s return. I’ll figure out a way to handle that by next week.
‘Big Brother’ continues to kill it in the ratings though the viewership numbers for the most recent shows were slightly weaker than the previous three show weekly ‘set’. Sunday, July 16 saw the show do a 1.8 rating and an 8 share with 5.95 million viewers. The Wednesday show did a 1.9 rating/8 share with 6.19 million viewers. The Thursday show did another 1.9 rating with a 7 share attracting 5.96 million viewers. Currently, ratings aren’t available for Friday’s special ‘Battle Back’ episode. As promised, I’ve added a few ‘Week 5’ props including several based on the TV ratings:
‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19 WEEK 5 PROPOSITION BETTING ODDS
CONTESTANT ELIMINATED FROM THE ‘BIG BROTHER’ HOUSE IN WEEK 5 WILL BE?
Male: -130
Female: +110
FINAL RATING FOR THE SUNDAY, JULY 23 ‘BIG BROTHER’ EPISODE AS REPORTED AT ‘TV BY THE NUMBERS‘
Over 1.85: +130
Under 1.85: -150
FINAL RATING FOR THE WEDNESDAY, JULY 26 ‘BIG BROTHER’ EPISODE AS REPORTED AT ‘TV BY THE NUMBERS‘
Over 1.85: -130
Under 1.85: +110
FINAL RATING FOR THE THURSDAY, JULY 27 ‘BIG BROTHER’ EPISODE AS REPORTED AT ‘TV BY THE NUMBERS‘
Over 1.85: -130
Under 1.85: +110
WHICH OF THE FOLLOWING EPISODES OF ‘BIG BROTHER’ WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST TOTAL VIEWERSHIP AS REPORTED AT ‘TV BY THE NUMBERS‘
Sunday, July 23: +165
Wednesday, July 26: +155
Thursday, July 27: +105
COMBINED VIEWERSHIP OF SUNDAY, WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY’S ‘BIG BROTHER’ EPISODES?
Over 18.25 million: -130
Under 18.25 million: +110
Combined viewership for the 7/23, 7/26 and 7/27 ‘Big Brother’ episodes. All bets are action regardless of pre-emption or rescheduling. Grading based on final ratings figures reported on the ‘TV By The Numbers‘ website.
WILL THE SUNDAY, WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY’S ‘BIG BROTHER’ EPISODES EACH HAVE THE TOP NETWORK TV RATING FOR BOTH THE TIMESLOT AND NIGHT PER ‘TV BY THE NUMBERS‘
Yes, ‘Big Brother’ will win timeslot/night on Sunday, Wednesday and Thursday: +450
No, ‘Big Brother’ will not win timeslot/night on Sunday, Wednesday and Thursday: -300
HOW MANY CONTESTANTS WILL LEAVE THE HOUSE DURING THE WEEK OF JULY 23–JULY 29, 2017?
Over 1.5: +300
Under 1.5: -450
Includes eliminations, withdrawals, disqualification or ejection for any other reason
‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19 PROPOSITION BETTING ODDS
TO WIN ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Matthew Clines: +350
Ramses Soto: +350
Paul Abrahamian: +450
Jessica Graf: +650
Alex Ow: +950
Christmas Abbott +1150
Mark Jansen: +1150
Elena Davies: +1500
Jason Dent: +1500
Josh Martinez: +3500
Kevin Schlehuber: +3500
Raven Walton: +3500
TO FINISH SECOND ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Ramses Soto: +250
Matthew Clines: +250
Alex Ow: +500
Mark Jansen: +1500
Kevin Schlehuber: +1500
Christmas Abbott +1500
Raven Walton: +1500
Elena Davies: +2500
Jason Dent: +2500
Jessica Graf: +2500
Josh Martinez: +2500
Paul Abrahamian: +2500
TO FINISH THIRD ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Christmas Abbott +250
Jessica Graf: +300
Ramses Soto: +450
Alex Ow: +450
Mark Jansen: +1500
Matthew Clines: +1500
Kevin Schlehuber: +1500
Raven Walton: +4500
Elena Davies: +4500
Jason Dent: +4500
Josh Martinez: +4500
Paul Abrahamian: +4500
TO FINISH FOURTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Matthew Clines: +300
Mark Jansen: +450
Kevin Schlehuber: +450
Raven Walton: +950
Ramses Soto: +1100
Christmas Abbott +1500
Jason Dent: +1500
Jessica Graf: +3000
Alex Ow: +3000
Elena Davies: +3000
Josh Martinez: +3000
Paul Abrahamian: +3000
TO FINISH FIFTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Christmas Abbott +350
Matthew Clines: +350
Mark Jansen: +350
Jessica Graf: +1150
Raven Walton: +1150
Josh Martinez: +2100
Alex Ow: +2100
Kevin Schlehuber: +2100
Jason Dent: +2100
Ramses Soto: +4500
Elena Davies: +4500
Paul Abrahamian: +4500
TO FINISH SIXTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Mark Jansen: +250
Kevin Schlehuber: +250
Matthew Clines: +600
Josh Martinez: +750
Ramses Soto: +1200
Raven Walton: +1200
Jessica Graf: +2100
Christmas Abbott +2100
Elena Davies: +2100
Paul Abrahamian: +2100
Jason Dent: +5000
Alex Ow: +5000
TO FINISH SEVENTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Jason Dent: +250
Mark Jansen: +250
Josh Martinez: +350
Jessica Graf: +1200
Kevin Schlehuber: +1200
Ramses Soto: +1200
Christmas Abbott +1750
Matthew Clines: +1750
Alex Ow: +1750
Elena Davies: +5000
Raven Walton: +5000
Paul Abrahamian: +5000
TO FINISH EIGHTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Kevin Schlehuber: +250
Jason Dent: +450
Josh Martinez: +450
Jessica Graf: +600
Alex Ow: +700
Raven Walton: +700
Christmas Abbott +1500
Elena Davies: +2500
Mark Jansen: +2500
Matthew Clines: +2500
Ramses Soto: +5000
Paul Abrahamian: +5000
TO FINISH NINTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Jason Dent: +300
Raven Walton: +350
Josh Martinez: +450
Jessica Graf: +650
Alex Ow: +950
Christmas Abbott +1250
Kevin Schlehuber: +1250
Ramses Soto: +1250
Elena Davies: +2500
Mark Jansen: +2500
Matthew Clines: +2500
Paul Abrahamian: +2500
TO FINISH TENTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Jason Dent: +175
Raven Walton: +550
Alex Ow: +750
Kevin Schlehuber: +750
Jessica Graf: +950
Ramses Soto: +950
Paul Abrahamian: +950
Mark Jansen: +1750
Christmas Abbott +1750
Josh Martinez: +2500
Elena Davies: +2500
Matthew Clines: +2500
TO FINISH ELEVENTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Josh Martinez: +200
Elena Davies: +350
Raven Walton: +600
Jessica Graf: +750
Alex Ow: +750
Jason Dent: +1500
Kevin Schlehuber: +1500
Ramses Soto: +2500
Paul Abrahamian: +2500
Mark Jansen: +2500
Christmas Abbott +2500
Matthew Clines: +2500
TO FINISH TWELFTH ‘BIG BROTHER’ SEASON 19
Raven Walton: +250
Jessica Graf: +250
Josh Martinez: +750
Ramses Soto: +750
Christmas Abbott +750
Elena Davies: +1500
Jason Dent: +1500
Alex Ow: +1500
Kevin Schlehuber: +2500
Paul Abrahamian: +2500
Mark Jansen: +2500
Matthew Clines: +2500
THIRTEENTH PLACE: Dominique Cooper
FOURTEENTH PLACE: Cody Nickson
FIFTEENTH PLACE: Jillian Parker
SIXTEENTH PLACE: Megan Lowder
SEVENTEENTH PLACE: Cameron Heard