Donald Trump Presidential Betting Odds for June 20, 2017

Written by Jim Murphy

–The ideological ‘true believers’ continue to squabble while the rest of the US tunes them out.

–Trump’s ‘approval’ and ‘disapproval’ poll numbers have been remarkably consistent.

–SPORTS BETTING EXPERTS is your source for Donald Trump prop bet odds

If this keeps up we might have to resume the weekly Donald Trump proposition odds. It’s been chaos as usual in the Trump White House and with a number of contentious issues front and center it’s a good time to update the SPORTS BETTING EXPERTS betting odds.

The impeachment talk continues but at this point that’s all it is. Impeaching a President is easier said than done. Trump’s approval numbers have been in a very narrow band since he was inagurated, ranging from 39% to 45%. Trump’s poll numbers took a hit last week dropping to 38.6–the lowest of his Presidency–but have since rebounded to 40% and back within the aforementioned band. The disapproval numbers have vacillated between 44% and 54% for much of his Presidency. Something interesting as they shot up to 56%–the highest of his Presidency but have started a fairly strong decline since then. They’re currently at 53.9% which is actually lower than our last update in May when his disapproval rating was at 54.7%. As always, this polling data comes from the Real Clear Politics ‘average’.

Despite the wider polling band and the more extreme vacillations the explanation we gave last time remains valid. Trump has a solid ‘core constituency’ that doesn’t flip out over whatever his political opponents are apoplectic about in the current news cycle. His disapproval numbers are slightly more fluid but they tend to go up when the left gets some kind of traction with their never relenting tirade against Trump. When that happens, less motivated ‘true believers’ come in off the sidelines to rail against Trump but leave once an issue starts to lose momentum. What’s interesting is how little impact the Left’s ‘throw everything at the wall and see what sticks’ strategy has had outside of their bubble of outrage. Likewise, Trump’s approval numbers are reasonably constant. It’s the picture of an electorate where a large percentage simply doesn’t ‘buy in’ any more. The left will continue to vilify Trump but at this point they’re ‘preaching to the choir’ and not resonating with ‘non-believers’. Those that hate Trump will continue to hate him, those that support him will continue to do so and the rest of us just don’t care.

In this update I’ve adjusted the odds on the various impeachment and tenure props as necessary though they’ve moved very little–not surprising in light of the approval/disapproval dynamic outlined above. I’ve also added a few new markets, most significantly one asking ‘Who will be the next White House Communications Director after Mike Dubke?’

DONALD TRUMP PRESIDENTIAL BETTING ODDS UPDATED 6/20/17

TRUMP PRESIDENTIAL TENURE PROPS

Will Donald Trump be President on 9/30/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -450
No:+300

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -550
No: +400

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/18 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -250
No: +210

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/19 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -180
No: +150

Will Donald Trump be President on 1/20/21 at 12:01 AM Eastern?

Yes: +130
No: -150

Will Donald Trump serve his full first term as President of the United States?

Yes: -200
No: +170

Will Donald Trump serve a second term term as President of the United States?

Yes: +130
No: -150

Will Donald Trump resign as President of the United States?

Yes: +250
No: -300

Will Donald Trump be impeached as President of the United States in 2017?

Yes: +300
No: -450

Will Donald Trump be impeached in his first term as President of the United States?

Yes: +210
No: -250

Year that Donald Trump will be impeached

2017: +300
2018: +600
2019: +900
2020: +2150
2021 or later/no impeachment: -250

TRUMP STAFF AND MISCELLANEOUS PROPOSITION ODDS

Will a permanent FBI Director be confirmed by 11:59 PM Eastern on 7/14/17?

Yes: +300
No: -350

Who will be the next Senate Confirmed FBI Director?

Chris Wray: +350
Bill Bratton: +2150
Trey Gowdy: +2150
Frances Townsend: +2150
David Clarke: +2150
Stephen Murphy III: +2150
James Kallstrom: +2150
Paul Abbate: +2150
Mark Filip: +2150
Ken Wainstein: +2750
Alice Fisher: +2750
Merrick Garland: +2750
Dana Boente: +2750
Michael Luttig: +2750
Kelly Ayote: +2750
John Cornyn: +2750
Mike Garcia: +2750
Ray Kelly: +3500
Larry D. Thompson: +3500
Adam Lee: +3500
Henry Hudson: +3500
Frank Keating: +3500
Rudy Giuliani: +5000
Richard McFeely: +5000
Chris Christie: +5000
Field: +650

Which of these Donald Trump Cabinet level appointees will be the next to leave their current job (fired or resigned)?

Reince Priebus: +350
Jeff Sessions: +500
Dan Coats: +750
Rex Tillerson: +950
Mike Pompeo: +1500
Betsy DeVoss: +1750
James Mattis: +1750
Steven Mnuchin: +1750
Wilbur Ross: +2150
Linda McMahon: +2150
Tom Price: +2150
Scott Pruitt: +2500
Robert Lighthizer: +2500
Rick Perry: +2750
John F. Kelly: +2750
David Shulkin: +2750
Nikki Haley: +5000
Ben Carson: +5000
Sonny Perdue: +5000
Elaine Chao: +6000
Tom Price: +6000
Alex Acosta: +6000
Ryan Zinke: +6000
Mike Pence: +7500

Which of these Donald Trump appointees will be the next to leave their current job (fired or resigned)?

Sean Spicer: +350
Reince Priebus: +450
Jeff Sessions:+750
Steve Bannon: +750
H.R. McMaster: +750
Jared Kushner: +1500
Kellyanne Conway: +1500
Rex Tillerson: +1750
John F. Kelly: +2500
Steven Mnuchin: +2500
James Mattis: +3500
Rick Perry: +3500
Wilbur Ross: +3500
Scott Pruitt: +3500
Alexander Acosta: +4500
Betsy DeVoss: +4500
Ben Carson: +4500
Sonny Perdue: +4500
Elaine Chao: +4500
Tom Price: +4500
Ryan Zinke: +5500
Nikki Haley: +5500
Mike Pence: +7500

Will Sean Spicer be White House Press Secretary at 11:59 PM EDT on July 31, 2017?

Yes: -250
No: +210

Will Sean Spicer be White House Press Secretary at 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2017?

Yes: +300
No: -350

When will Sean Spicer leave his job as White House Press Secretary?

Before June 30, 2017: +150
July 1, 2017 through September 30, 2017: +250
October 1, 2017 through December 31, 2017:+700
January 1, 2018 or later: +125

Next White House Communications Director after Mike Dubke?

Shaun Spicer: +450
Raj Shah: +500
David Bossie: +750
Chris Ruddy: +750
Kellyanne Conway: +750
Hope Hicks: +750
Jessica Ditto: +1500
Stephanie Grisham: +2500
David Urban: +3500
Corey Lewandowski: +3500
Sarah Huckabee Sanders: +3500
Field: +250