Donald Trump Presidential Betting Odds for May 19, 2017

Written by Jim Murphy

After a few quiet weeks in the Trump Presidency it’s been ‘mayhem as usual’ of late. The real firestorm of controversy began with the firing of FBI Director James Comey in early May. There have been allegations that Trump wanted Comey to shut down the investigation of former National Security Director Michael Flynn. The White House has denied this report and maintained that Comey was fired to his bungling of the Hillary Clinton ‘private email server’ fiasco. Whatever the reason, Trump was happy to see him go and told sources in Russia that Comey was ‘a real nut job’.

All of this has revived impeachment talk though at this point it remains pure speculation. Trump’s poll numbers took a hit over the last week but not as much of one as you might think. Based on the average polling at Real Clear Politics his disapproval ratings is at 54.7%. It’s the highest of his presidency but that number has vacillated between 44% and 54% since he was inaugurated. His approval rating is 39.7 percent which is essentially the same as his April 4 approval rating of 39.8 percent. Trump’s approval rating has been in an even narrower band, ranging from 39.7% to 45%.

Given the nature of Trump’s appeal to his supporters that’s not surprising. He’s got a ‘core constituency’ that doesn’t flip out over whatever his political opponents are outraged over on a given day. His disapproval numbers are slightly more fluid but they likely go up when the left gets some kind of traction with their never relenting tirade against Trump. When that happens, less motivated ‘true believers’ come in off the sidelines to rail against Trump but leave once an issue starts to lose momentum. These tendencies will likely continue throughout Trump’s Presidency and it will take an extremely serious crisis to significantly erode his support base.

The events of the past several weeks have necessitated some revision in our Donald Trump Presidential betting odds. The team at SPORTS BETTING EXPERTS has updated the odds for his tenure in office, whether or not he’ll be impeached and his prospects for a second term. We’ve also considered his staff examining the next person to quit or get fired, the next FBI Director and even the next Trump Supreme Court appointee.

DONALD TRUMP PRESIDENTIAL BETTING ODDS

TRUMP PRESIDENTIAL TENURE PROPS

Will Donald Trump be President on 9/30/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -650
No: +400

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -450
No: +300

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/18 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -250
No: +210

Will Donald Trump be President on 1/20/21 at 12:01 AM Eastern?

Yes: +130
No: -150

Will Donald Trump serve his full first term as President of the United States?

Yes: -200
No: +170

Will Donald Trump serve a second term term as President of the United States?

Yes: +130
No: -150

Will Donald Trump resign as President of the United States?

Yes: +250
No: -300

Will Donald Trump be impeached as President of the United States in 2017?

Yes: +300
No: -450

Will Donald Trump be impeached in his first term as President of the United States?

Yes: +210
No: -250

Year that Donald Trump will be impeached

2017: +300
2018: +600
2019: +900
2020: +2150
2021 or later/no impeachment: -250

TRUMP STAFF AND MISCELLANEOUS PROPOSITION ODDS

Who will be the next Senate Confirmed FBI Director?

Joe Lieberman: +250
Richard McFeely: +450
Mike Rogers: +650
Ray Kelly: +750
Larry D. Thompson: +1250
Adam Lee: +1250
Frances Townsend: +1450
Frank Keating: +3500
Ken Wainstein: +4750
Rudy Giuliani: +4750
Field: +450

Which of these Donald Trump appointees will be the next to leave their job (fired or resigned)?

Sean Spicer: +300
H.R. McMaster: +450
Steve Bannon: +650
Reince Priebus: +1450
Jeff Sessions: +1450
Kellyanne Conway: +1450
Rex Tillerson: +1650
John F. Kelly: +2150
James Mattis: +2150
Rick Perry: +2350
Wilbur Ross: +2350
Scott Pruitt: +2500
Steven Mnuchin: +2750
Jared Kushner: +2750
Alexander Acosta: +3500
Betsy DeVoss: +3500
Ben Carson: +3500
Sonny Perdue: +4500
Elaine Chao: +4500
Tom Price: +4500
Ryan Zinke: +5500
Nikki Haley: +5500
Mike Pence: +7500

Will Sean Spicer be White House Press Secretary at 11:59 PM EDT on May 31, 2017?

Yes: -300
No: +250

When will Sean Spicer leave his job as White House Press Secretary?

Before June 30, 2017: +150
July 1, 2017 through September 30, 2017: +300
October 1, 2017 through December 31, 2017: +750
January 1, 2018 or later: +105