Donald Trump Proposition Betting Odds for 3/27/17

–Is the novelty wearing off for Donald Trump betting propositions?

–Only a few sportsbooks now offer any kind of ‘Trump Prop’ variety.

–SPORTS BETTING EXPERTS is your source for Donald Trump prop bet odds

Unless something drastic changes between now and a week from today we’ll be going back to a monthly format for Donald Trump betting odds with updates ‘as needed’. To be honest, it was really shocking how quickly the sports betting world lost interest in Trump proposition bets. One week they were de rigeur at every European betting site and a week later they were few to be found.

So what happened? The first thing that happened is that its becoming apparent that despite the more hysterical predictions of his ‘haters’ and the loftiest hopes of his supporters is that Trump is going to be just another President. I don’t have an opinion on the guy or how he’ll govern for the rest of his tenure in office but a more unorthodox background than the typical Presidential candidate aside, he’s just the latest empty suit filling a role that is becoming less and less important as the stature of the United States declines. He’s just another guy, not evil incarnate as his opponents would have us believe. Nor is he the ‘second coming’ as his supporters hoped. Since Trump’s presidency doesn’t look as if it’ll be a train wreck of historical proportions the betting public–and particularly the worldwide betting public–has quickly lost interest.

The rah rah patriotic Americans are often shocked when they find this out but the reality is that what happens in the USA is just not a big deal to most of the world–and that’s where most of the legal sports betting takes place. As the rest of the world has caught up–and in some cases surpassed–the United States socially, economically and financially what happens in America is little more than trivia. The US is viewed by most of the world as a violence loving, war mongering joke that likes to boast about how ‘free’ they are as country after country passes them in every metric of freedom like traffic passing a car with a flat tire on the interstate. The US continues to dream up one pretend ‘enemy’ after another that necessitates draconian restrictions on freedom to ‘protect’ Americans against ‘terrorism’. Meanwhile, the rest of the developed world is finally starting to move beyond seeing *everything* in terms of a military conflict. More hopefully, the centralized power structure once dominated by governments and militaries is quickly eroding.

Outside of the US, the world is more interested in the upcoming French election than anything that happens in US politics. You’re seeing more and more sportsbooks offer betting markets and props in the French election and fewer than fewer offering odds in US political markets. That’s also the case among North American facing sportsbooks. It’s still fun to set Trump prop odds but since the interest is waning we’re going to dial back to once a month unless circumstances necessitate doing otherwise:

DONALD TRUMP PRESIDENTIAL PROPOSITION BETTING ODDS FOR WEEK OF 3/27/17

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -750
No: +600

Will Donald Trump be President on 12/31/18 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -600
No: +450

Will Donald Trump be President on 1/20/21 at 12:01 AM Eastern?

Yes: -175
No: +150

Will Donald Trump be impeached in his first term as President of the United States?

Yes: +300
No: -350

Will Donald Trump serve his full term as President of the United States?

Yes: -300
No: +250

Will Donald Trump serve a second term term as President of the United States?

Yes: +175
No: -225

Will Donald Trump resign as President of the United States?

Yes: +300
No: -350

DONALD TRUMP TWITTER PROPS

Donald Trump total Tweets from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 55.5: -170
Under 55.5: +150

Donald Trump @realDonaldTrump Tweets from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 33.5: -130
Under 33.5: +110

Donald Trump @potus Tweets from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 42.5: -150
Under 42.5: +130

Mike Pence total Tweets from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 65.5: -250
Under 65.5: +210

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘dishonest’ from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 1.5: +130
Under 1.5: -150

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘fake’ from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 4.5: +150
Under 4.5: -170

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘great’ from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 6.5: -130
Under 6.5: +110

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘illegal’ from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 1.5: -140
Under 1.5: +120

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘sad’ from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 1.5: -150
Under 1.5: +130

Number Donald Trump Tweets that include the exact word ‘strongly’ from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 0.5: -150
Under 0.5: +130

Will Donald Trump Tweet the exact word ‘Maddow’ from 03/27/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern through 4/2/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: +300
No: -350

Will either of Donald Trump’s Twitter accounts be hacked by 6/15/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern?

Yes: +900
No: -1200

Will either of Donald Trump’s Twitter accounts go ‘offline’ due to a ban, personal decision or other reason by 6/15/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern?

Yes: +600
No: -750

DONALD TRUMP MISCELLANEOUS PROPS

Which of these Donald Trump appointees will be the next to leave their job (fired or resigned)?

Jeff Sessions: +300
Reince Priebus: +700
Sean Spicer: +750
Rex Tillerson: +1150
Kellyanne Conway: +1200
Alexander Acosta: +1500
Betsy DeVoss: +1500
Sonny Purdue: +1750
Steve Bannon: +1750
James Mattis: +2000
Rick Perry: +2250
Elaine Chao: +2250
John F. Kelly: +2500
Steven Mnuchin: +2750
Scott Pruett: +2750
Tom Price: +2750
Wilbur Ross: +3000
Ben Carson: +3250
H.R. McMaster: +3250
Ryan Zinke: +3500
Mike Pence: +4500

Will Donald Trump back Taiwanese Independence?

Yes: +700
No: -850

Will construction begin on Trump’s wall between the US and Mexico during 2017?

Yes: +600
No: -750

Will Donald Trump veto legislation by 11:59 AM Pacific on 4/30/17?

Yes: +700
No: -950

Will Donald Trump pre-emptively pardon himself by 11:59 AM Pacific on 12/31/17?

Yes: +700
No: -950

Will a US State declare independence before 12/31/18?

Yes: +9000
No: -15000

Will Janet Yellen be Federal Reserve Chair at 12:00 midnight Eastern on August 1, 2017?

Yes: -900
No: +750

Will Richard Cordray be Consumer Financial Protection Board Chairman at 12:00 midnight Eastern on August 1, 2017?

Yes: -150
No: +130

Will the House subpoena wiretap evidence by 4/15/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern?

Yes: +600
No: -750

Will President Trump visit Russia by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: +150
No: -170

Will President Trump throw a ceremonial first pitch on opening day of the Major League Baseball season (April 2 or 3)?

Yes: +375
No: -450

Will President Trump attend a Washington Capitals NHL regular season or playoff hockey game by 7/1/17?

Yes: +450
No: -600

Will President Trump attend a WWE Wrestling event by 7/1/17?

Yes: +300
No: -450

TRUMP ECONOMIC POLICY PROPS

Individual Federal Income Tax cut by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -450
No: +375

Corporate Federal Income Tax cut by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -450
No: +375

Will carried interest be taxed as ‘ordinary income’ by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: +350
No: -500

The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 4/5/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?

Over $900: -450
Under $900: +300

The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 4/5/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?

Over $1000: -150
Under $1000: +130

The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 4/5/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?

Over $1100: +210
Under $1100: -250

The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 3/23/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?

Over $1200: +500
Under $1200: -750

The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 3/23/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?

Over $1250: +700
Under $1250: -1200

The USD price of Bitcoin (BTC) at Coinbase on 3/23/17 at 12:01 AM Eastern will be?

Over $1300: +900
Under $1300: -1500

TRUMP POLLING AND PUBLIC OPINION PROPS

President Trump’s average overall approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 4/15/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 43.5%: -150
Under 43.5%: +130

President Trump’s Gallup poll approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 4/15/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 36.5%: +110
Under 36.5%: -130

President Trump’s average economic issues approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 4/15/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 47.5%: -150
Under 47.5%: +130

President Trump’s average foreign policy approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 4/15/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 38.5%: -120
Under 38.5%: +100

Congressional average job approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 4/15/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 22.5%: -130
Under 22.5%: +110

‘Direction of Country-right direction’ rating at RealClearPolitics on 4/15/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 38.5%: -150
Under 38.5%: +130

‘Affordable Care Act/Obamacare’ approval rating at RealClearPolitics on 4/15/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Over 47.5%: -130
Under 47.5%: +110

AFFORDABLE CARE ACT (ACA)/OBAMACARE PROPOSITIONS

There’s several European sportsbooks offering prop bets on the repeal of ‘Obamacare’ aka the Affordable Care Act. The problem with this is that it’s highly unlikely that the entire ACA will be repealed in ‘one fell swoop’. For that reason, we’ve divided it up into its various components with odds for each:

Will the ACA Preexisting Condition Provision be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: +600
No: -750

Will the ACA Individual Mandate be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -210
No: +180

Will the ACA Income Tax Subsidy be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: +210
No: -250

Will the ACA Employer Mandate be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -130
No: +110

Will the ACA Medical Device Tax be repealed by 12/31/17 at 11:59 PM Eastern?

Yes: -180
No: +160

All markets and prices current as of March 27, 2017

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.