MLB Baseball Betting for July 27, 2016
Full card of baseball for Wednesday with six day games:
MLB BASEBALL BETTING FOR JULY 27, 2016:
CINCINNATI REDS AT SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS:
The Cincinnati Reds may or may not still be a dumpster fire but you have to give them credit for one thing: they took advantage of a schedule sequence full of bottom feeding opponents to win some games. Cincinnati has won 7 of 10 due in large part to a 6-3 record during a nine game stretch where they faced the Milwaukee Brewers, Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks at home. Now they’ve headed West to take on the San Francisco Giants in three games and after a win in Game 1 they might be ready to give the slumping NL West leading San Francisco Giants a tough test.
The San Francisco Giants are 17 games over .500 but have looked like more of a ‘dumpster fire’ over the past two weeks than have the Reds. San Fran has lost 8 of 9 and has seen their lead over the second place Los Angeles Dodgers cut to 2.5 games. The usual hysterics in mainstream sports media have already started to write them off (despite the fact that they’re 17 games over .500 pending the outcome of Tuesday’s action). One of their biggest issues has been relief pitching and the Giants look prepared to address that liability at the trade deadline, at least to whatever extent they’re able to. They’ve also got a Grateful Dead tribute night set for August 18 to look forward to.
Dan Straily (who has recently started to be listed as ‘Daniel’ in the stats database I use after a long time of being listed as ‘Danny’) has pitched well lately–even if his last two opponents were Arizona and Milwaukee. It could be his ticket out of town as there are rumors that the Reds may be shopping him at the trade deadline (along with Anthony Desclafani). Straily has had a fairly mediocre season until his most recent starts. For the year, he’s got a 4.08 ERA and a 1.217 WHIP though the Reds have won 10 of his 18 starts. On the road, Cincinnati has won 5 of his 8 starts and he’s got a 4.94 ERA and a 1.268 WHIP. They’re 2-1 in his last 3 starts and he’s got a 2.37 ERA and a 1.053 WHIP.
He’ll be opposed by Madison Bumgarner who hasn’t pitched badly of late by any objective standards but he hasn’t been getting help from his teammates. For the year, the Giants have won 13 of his 21 starts including 7 of 11 at home. He’s got a 2.21 ERA overall and a 1.002 WHIP with a 1.76 ERA and a 0.848 WHIP at home. In his last three starts he’s got a 2.45 ERA and a 0.909 WHIP but the Giants have lost two of his last three starts.
Cincinnati has struggled against left handers and they’ll be facing one of the best on Wednesday. The Reds are 7-15 -6.6 units against southpaws with a 0.236 batting average putting up 3.6 runs per game. The Reds have won 6 of 8 in San Fran over the past three seasons but they’ve been horrible on the road this year (15-32 -8.6 units).
BET SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS -230 OVER CINCINNATI REDS
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS AT NEW YORK METS:
The St. Louis Cardinals can’t seem to get any closer to the Chicago Cubs than 6.5 games. That’s their deficit in the NL Central after the Cubs’ loss to the Chicago White Sox on Tuesday and the Cardinals doubleheader split against the New York Mets. St. Louis has won 6 of 10 and will get one more shot at the Mets on Wednesday before they continue on to South Florida for four games against the Miami Marlins to end the month of July. The Mets will remain at home hosting the Colorado Rockies for four games to close out July.
St. Louis will start Adam Wainwright in Wednesday’s game and the veteran right hander has been very erratic this season. On the season his stat line doesn’t look like much though the Cardinals have won games when he pitches. St. Louis is 14-6 in his 20 starts this season including 6-3 in 9 road starts. He’s got a 4.09 ERA and a 1.261 WHIP overall with a 6.23 ERA and a 1.481 WHIP on the road. They’ve also won his last three starts and Wainwright has pitched impressively–1.23 ERA and 0.818 WHIP with 22 strikeouts to just 3 walks in 22 innings of work.
The Mets will counter with Logan Verrett who is filling Matt Harvey’s spot in the rotation while he recovers from injury. Verrett has been generally mediocre but has turned in a pair of solid starts in his last two outings. The Mets are 3-5 in his eight starts and 1-1 at home. Verrett has a 4.97 ERA and a 1.536 WHIP overall with a 3.55 ERA and a 1.105 WHIP at home. His L3 ERA doesn’t look like much (4.50) but he’s turned in a pair of solid efforts allowing just 2 ER in each of his last two games.
Cards look to have the pitching edge and definitely have the edge on offense. St. Louis averages 6 runs per game on the road and 5.1 runs per game against right handers. Mets averaging just 3.8 runs per game against right handers and 3.8 runs per game at home.
BET ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -130 OVER NEW YORK METS