Political Betting–Additional Third Presidential Debate Prop Bet Odds
This will be our last major installment of proposition betting odds on the third Presidential debate which will take place on Wednesday in Las Vegas, Nevada on the UNLV campus. You can find our two previous ‘Third Debate odds’ articles at the links below:
EARLY ODDS FOR THIRD PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE
MORE PROP BET ODDS ON THIRD PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE
This installment covers the remaining ‘will either candidate say’ prop bets. We’ve had some in the previous two installments as well as some specific ‘will they say it’ prop bets for Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton and even debate moderator Chris Wallace. This list of ‘will either candidate say’ prop bets has several recurring themes:
—Political cliches and platitudes: These include the various “x Lives Matter” statements, names of political and media cronies or enemies, and classic political cliche lines like ‘Our People Are Tough’. We’ve had more of these in the previous two installments.
—Issue related words and concepts: More of these in the previous two installments but I wanted include terms that hit on as many of the major storylines that could be brought up in the debate as possible. Benghazi, Global Warming, drug policy, etc.
—Geography related terms: City, state and country names both foreign and domestic. Some like ‘New York’ or ‘Washington’ are a lot more likely to appear than others like ‘Colorado’ or ‘Atlantic City’.
—Nevada related terms: More local references including Nevada cities such as ‘Reno’ and ‘Laughlin’ and the state motto ‘Battle Born’.
—Gambling related terms: These could be interesting since many gambling related terms have been co-opted into the wider vocabulary. For example, ‘parlay’ has many other contexts in addition to betting on multiple sporting events. Other gambling terms like ‘snake eyes’ not so much. In addition, the word ‘gamble’ is used frequently as a metaphor for all sorts of risk. The Wall Street investment industry has been frequently compared to a ‘casino’.
—Technology related terms: Perhaps the most absurd thing about this Presidential election is the fact that we’ve got two technological illiterates trying to hoodwink the masses into thinking that they can ‘grow the economy’ and ‘create jobs’. Come to think of it, the entire concept of a President ‘creating jobs’ or having more than a tangential impact on the world economy is equally as absurd. Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are both analog players in a digital world that they really don’t understand but might have to talk about. Hope their advisors prepared them well! This subject area includes technical terms like ‘Bitcoin’ and ‘encryption’ as well as tech companies like ‘Google’ and ‘Apple’.
After the debate we’ll have another set of ‘Post Debate Campaign Odds’ where we’ll update the odds to win the Presidency and include some new props related to polling, campaign news, etc.
THIRD PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE SPECIALS
Proposition odds on the third Presidential debate to be held Wednesday, October 19 in Las Vegas, NV
Will either candidate say ‘All Lives Matter’ during third debate?
Yes: +500
No: -800
Will either candidate say ‘Black Lives Matter’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -700
Will either candidate say ‘Blue Lives Matter’ during third debate?
Yes: +800
No: -1500
Will either candidate say ‘Trump TV’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -700
Will either candidate say ‘Our People Are Tough’ or ‘American People Are Tough’ during third debate?
Yes: +190
No: -240
Will either candidate say ‘Bernie Sanders’ during third debate?
Yes: -410
No: +290
Will either candidate say ‘Sean Hannity’ during third debate?
Yes: +250
No: -350
Will either candidate say ‘Aleppo’ during third debate?
Yes: -180
No: +140
Will either candidate say ‘Arkansas’ during third debate?
Yes: +180
No: +260
Will either candidate say ‘Atlantic City’ during third debate?
Yes: +300
No: -420
Will either candidate say ‘Baltimore’ during third debate?
Yes: +180
No: -260
Will either candidate say ‘Canada’ during third debate?
Yes: +160
No: -210
Will either candidate say ‘Charlotte’ during third debate?
Yes: +185
No: -265
Will either candidate say ‘Chicago’ during third debate?
Yes: -215
No: +165
Will either candidate say ‘Colorado’ during third debate?
Yes: +220
No: -300
Will either candidate say ‘Utah’ during third debate?
Yes: +180
No: -240
Will either candidate say ‘Israel’ during third debate?
Yes: -150
No: +120
Will either candidate say ‘New York’ during third debate?
Yes: -300
No: +220
Will either candidate say ‘Texas’ during third debate?
Yes: +110
No: -150
Will either candidate say ‘Virginia’ during third debate?
Yes: +100
No: -135
Will either candidate say ‘Wall Street’ during third debate?
Yes: -350
No: +225
Will either candidate say ‘Washington’ during third debate?
Yes: -350
No: +225
Will either candidate say ‘Benghazi’ during third debate?
Yes: -350
No: +250
Will either candidate say ‘Pahrump’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘Laughlin’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘Lake Tahoe’ or ‘Tahoe’ during third debate?
Yes: +375
No: -500
Will either candidate say ‘Reno’ during third debate?
Yes: +300
No: -450
Will either candidate say ‘Battle Born’ (state motto of Nevada) during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘Blackjack’ during third debate?
Yes: +1500
No: -4500
Will either candidate say ‘What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas’ during third debate?
Yes: +3000
No: -8500
Will either candidate say ‘McCarran Airport’ or ‘Las Vegas Airport’ during third debate?
Yes: +240
No: -300
Will either candidate say ‘Howard Hughes’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘Frank Sinatra’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘devil’ during third debate?
Yes: +180
No: -260
Will either candidate say ‘fracking’ during third debate?
Yes: +400
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘full house’ during third debate?
Yes: +400
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘gamble’ or ‘gambling’ during third debate?
Yes: +180
No: -260
Will either candidate say ‘jackpot’ during third debate?
Yes: +400
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘let it ride’ during third debate?
Yes: +400
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘let it ride’ during third debate?
Yes: +500
No: -750
Will either candidate say ‘hard 8’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -700
Will either candidate say ‘global warming’ or ‘climate change’ during third debate?
Yes: -130
No: +105
Will either candidate say ‘Marijuana’ during third debate?
Yes: +750
No: -1000
Will either candidate say ‘L.G.B.T’ during third debate?
Yes: +300
No: -450
Will either candidate say ‘Howard Hughes’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘Muslim Band’ during third debate?
Yes: +160
No: -210
Will either candidate say ‘parlay’ or ‘teaser’ during third debate?
Yes: +700
No: -1500
Will either candidate say ‘November’ during third debate?
Yes: -450
No: +300
Will either candidate say ‘racist’ during third debate?
Yes: -350
No: +300
Will either candidate say ‘prison’ during third debate?
Yes: -150
No: +125
Will either candidate say ‘solar’ during third debate?
Yes: +400
No: -600
Will either candidate say ‘The Strip’ or ‘Las Vegas Boulevard’ during third debate?
Yes: -310
No: +230
Will either candidate say ‘STEM Jobs’ during third debate?
Yes: +300
No: -450
Will either candidate say ‘innovation’ during third debate?
Yes: +300
No: -450
Will either candidate say ‘Bitcoin’ or ‘blockchain’ during third debate?
Yes: +500
No: -750
Will either candidate say ‘Apple’ or ‘Steve Jobs’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -750
Will either candidate say ‘Google’ during third debate?
Yes: +250
No: -425
Will either candidate say ‘subpoena’ during third debate?
Yes: -130
No: +100
Will either candidate say ‘teacher’ during third debate?
Yes: -175
No: +150
Will either candidate say ‘yoga’ during third debate?
Yes: +245
No: -325
Will either candidate say ‘Facebook’ during third debate?
Yes: +450
No: -700
Will either candidate say ‘Twitter’ or ‘Tweet’ during third debate?
Yes: +105
No: -145
Will either candidate say ‘encryption’ during third debate?
Yes: +250
No: -375
RULES: Debate must take place in Las Vegas, Nevada on or before October 20, 2016. Any other rescheduling, cancellation or venue change voids all bets. All mentions must be exact and verbatim unless specified otherwise. Mention can be within a longer phrase or sentence but must be said without any additional words. For example, if a candidate says ‘Who is Evan McMullan and why should I care’? it will count as a valid mention of ‘Evan McMullan’. If a candidate says ‘Who is Evan Freakin’ McMullan and why should I care?’ it would not count as a valid mention. Phrases or topics must be said by Donald Trump, Hillary Clinton or moderator Chris Wallace during the actual debate unless specified otherwise to count as a valid mention. ‘Actual debate’ does not include individual network analysis or pre/post debate coverage.