‘So You Think You Can Dance’ Season 14 Week 13 Betting Odds
–This is the 14th season for Fox TVs ‘So You Think You Can Dance’.
–Episode 13 of ‘So You Think You Can Dance’ will air live on Monday, September 11 at 8 PM Eastern.
–Vanessa Hudgens will join Nigel Lythgoe and Mary Murphy as judges.
Logan Hernandez and Mark Villaver were our co-favorites to be eliminated in Week 12, each priced at +300. Villaver ended up getting ‘sent off’ and now we’re down to six contestants remaining. That number will be cut down to four following Week 13’s ‘Double Elimination’ show that has a stipulation that the only criteria will be viewer voting. That means the judges’ scores won’t matter, nor will any of the dancers be able to look to a ‘save’ to keep them in contention. Unfortunately, this also means that two of these very talented dancers will be ‘deep sixed’ in a popularity contest. This is good news for Kiki Nyemchek, who was one of the ‘bottom three’ in Week 12. He’s a fan favorite so he’ll likely advance. This is bad news for Kaylee Millis, the blue haired Massachusetts native. Despite the fact that she’s a compelling dancer and a lovely girl who clearly has worked hard at her craft being ‘different’ or ‘unique’ just doesn’t get you anywhere in ‘flyover country’. She’s my personal favorite but it’s just hard to see her doing anything to win over the voting audience.
Assuming that the audience vote is on the ‘up and up’ (and that’s *always* something to be concerned about in voting based reality TV competitions) you could see two of the remaining three female dancers eliminated. That would make Koine Iwasaki the next most likely choice. Middle America’s disdain for anything that doesn’t fit into their narrow parameters of ‘familiarity’ could spell the end for Iwasaki just because she’s Asian. The United States is increasingly a very ugly and shameful place. At any rate, she’s my second choice to be eliminated. As we mentioned last week at this stage of the competition the cuts can be very difficult. They become much easier when the producers delegate it to the simple minded whims of the ‘lowest common denominator’. Another concept I’m using to price the remaining contestants is that the demographic profile of the viewing audience likely favors the male dancers. Simply put, the show has more women watching than men and I’m thinking that they’ll be more likely to want them to stay in the competition. That sounds like a simplistic concept but based on the reaction of the live audience when the ‘bottom three’ was announced last week I’m of the opinion it has some validity.
SO WHO IS THE BEST DANCER REMAINING?
Not that it really matters given the format of the show but in theory at least the best dancers should end up competing for the top prize. Here’s the problem–‘best dancer’ is a very difficult thing to quantify and particularly without a certain level of expertise in the art. The ‘eye test’ suggests that Lex Ishimoto is the most talented male dancer with Taylor Sieve likely the most gifted female competitor. They are also the only two remaining contestants without at least one ‘bottom three’ appearance this season. Kaylee Millis is the only remaining dancer with two bottom three appearances (in back to back weeks, no less) with the other three dancers each having one ‘bottom 3’ score. This all means that Kaylee Millis and Koine Iwasaki are the most likely dancers to be eliminated and Lex Ishimoto and Taylor Sieve the most likely winners. In the 13 previous seasons of the show the winner and runner up have been of the same gender on six occasions (4 male, 2 female) so it’s definitely not unprecedented. Still, I’d imagine that the producers would like to keep at least one female competitor in the running as long as possible.
The ratings for ‘So You Think You Can Dance’ have been very consistent this season, though likely somewhat lower than the producers would have hoped. They got some good news last week with an uptick in the ratings, share and viewership for Episode 11. The show turned in a 0.8 rating with a 3 share attracting 2.95 million viewers. That’s the largest viewership since Week Three when the audition show brought in 3.10 million viewers. ‘So You Think You Can Dance’ has yet to be renewed for next season so a strong showing in the stretch run could help their cause significantly. Ratings for Episode 12 were lower with a 0.6 rating, 3 share and 2.57 million viewers. Note that these numbers could (and most likely will) be revised in the next day or two.
Here’s the updated odds to win Season 14 and the Episode 13 proposition bets:
‘SO YOU THINK YOU CAN DANCE’ (SYTYCD) SEASON 14 BETTING ODDS
TO WIN ‘SO YOU THINK YOU CAN DANCE’ SEASON 14
Lex Ishimoto: -150
Taylor Sieve: +350
Kiki Nyemchek: +700
Logan Hernandez: +700
Kaylee Millis: +950
Koine Iwasaki: +950
‘SO YOU THINK YOU CAN DANCE’ (SYTYCD) SEASON 14 EPISODE 13 BETTING ODDS
TO BE ELIMINATED IN EPISODE 13
Kaylee Millis: -150
Koine Iwasaki: +100
Taylor Sieve: +450
Logan Hernandez: +750
Kiki Nyemchek: +750
Lex Ishimoto: +1150
No One Eliminated: +2500
If fewer than two competitors are eliminated in Episode 13 bets on ‘No One Eliminated’ will be graded as a ‘win’
TO BE IN THE BOTTOM THREE BUT SAFE IN EPISODE 13
Kiki Nyemchek: +150
Logan Hernandez: +350
Taylor Sieve: +450
Koine Iwasaki: +450
Kaylee Millis: +900
Lex Ishimoto: +900
No One Bottom Three/Safe: +1500
WILL JUDGE VANESSA HUDGENS GIVE A STANDING OVATION?
Yes: -750
No: +600
WILL JUDGE MARY MURPHY GIVE A STANDING OVATION?
Yes: -750
No: +600
WILL JUDGE NIGEL LYTHGOE GIVE A STANDING OVATION?
Yes: -750
No: +600
WILL VANESSA HUDGINS SAY ‘SHINE’ OR ‘SHINING’ AT ANY POINT DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: -250
No: +210
WILL JUDGE MARY MURPHY SCREAM AT ANY POINT DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: -250
No: +210
WILL JUDGE MARY MURPHY USE THE WORD ‘TAMALE’ AT ANY POINT DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: -350
No: +300
WILL ANY JUDGE CRY ON CAMERA DURING A PERFORMANCE DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: +130
No: -150
WILL ANY JUDGE CRITICIZE A DANCER’S COSTUME DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: -250
No: +210
WILL ANY DANCER SAY ‘I’M TIRED’ AFTER THEIR PERFORMANCE DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: -350
No: +300
WILL A DANCER SAY ‘DANCING IS MY LIFE’ AT ANY POINT DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: +130
No: -150
WILL A DANCER SAY ‘THIS MEANS EVERYTHING TO ME’ AT ANY POINT DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: +130
No: -150
WILL A DANCER FALL DRAMATICALLY TO THE FLOOR (INTENTIONALLY OR UNINTENTIONALLY) AT ANY POINT DURING EPISODE 13?
Yes: +150
No: -180
NUMBER OF VIEWERS FOR SEASON 14 EPISODE 13 OF ‘SYTYCD’?
Over 2.7 million: -150
Under 2.7 million: +130
TV RATINGS FOR SEASON 14 EPISODE 13 OF ‘SYTYCD’?
0.7: -250
Not 0.7: +210
TV SHARE FOR SEASON 14 EPISODE 13 OF ‘SYTYCD’?
3: -250
Not 3: +210