‘Survivor: Ghost Island’ Episode Three Betting Odds

–This is the 36th season for CBS’s reality show.

–’Survivor’ was one of the early pioneers of the reality TV genre.

–’Survivor: Ghost Island’ Episode 3 airs March 7 at 8:00 PM Eastern.

So here we are in Episode Three of ‘Survivor: Ghost Island’ which might come as a surprise since you’ll recall that last week was the ‘season premiere’. Well, it was but for ‘official scoring purposes’ the ‘two hour season premiere’ was technically two one hour episodes–Episodes 1 and 2. That means we’re in Episode 3 and two contestants have already been shown the proverbial door. Brooklyn’s Jacob Derwin got eliminated which made me unhappy. Derwin had the look of a guy that didn’t belong there but was ‘in on the joke’ and would have been good for some serious hi-jinks. Maybe his fellow contestants also got that vibe and didn’t want anyone who didn’t take things seriously in their midst. I didn’t expect Derwin to do well on the show–he was near the bottom of my ‘to win’ market and my favorite to be eliminated at +500.

Derwin at least made it to the end of the second hour–Stephanie Gonzalez was eliminated at the end of hour one giving her the ignominious distinction of being the first one out. According to Jeff Probst it wasn’t so much that she did anything wrong she just didn’t ‘mesh’ with her team:

I felt for Gonzalez. She came out to play. She just was a bit of an odd person out. But I really don’t think she did anything wrong. If she had started on another tribe, she might have been fine.

As for the aforementioned Derwin, Probst thinks he just went too hard too fast trying to ‘announce his presence with authority’:

He just went too big too fast. But I felt for Jacob because it was the superfan in him that was trying to please other superfans of the game. I saw that in him and I appreciated the effort, but ultimately it cost him.

‘Ghost Island’ also did reasonably well in the ratings but the trick now will be to keep that audience. At this point, people were likely glad to have something else to watch besides ‘Celebrity Big Brother’ or the Winter Olympics.

Here are the odds on ‘Survivor: Ghost Island’ Episode 3:

‘SURVIVOR: GHOST ISLAND’ SEASON 36 BETTING ODDS

TO WIN ‘SURVIVOR: GHOST ISLAND’

Stephanie Johnson: +500
Wendell Holland: +500
Domenick Abbate: +700
Angela Perkins: +700
Michael Yerger: +900
Kellyn Bechtold: +900
Brendan Shapiro: +1350
Libby Vincek: +1350
Jenna Bowman: +1750
Bradley Kleihege: +1750
Morgan Ricke: +2500
Donathan Hurley: +2500
Chris Noble: +2500
Desiree Afuye: +2500
Chelsea Townsend: +5000
Sebastian Noel: +5000
James Lin: +5000
Laurel Johnson: +5000

‘SURVIVOR: GHOST ISLAND’EPISODE 3 BETTING ODDS

WHO WILL BE ELIMINATED IN EPISODE 3?

Desiree Afuye: +350
Donathan Hurley: +500
Morgan Ricke: +750
Chelsea Townsend: +750
Chris Noble: +950
James Lin: +950
Bradley Kleihege: +1800
Stephanie Gonzalez: +1800
Laurel Johnson: +1800
Michael Yerger: +1800
Sebastian Noel: +2750
Jenna Bowman: +2750
Angela Perkins: +2750
Domenick Abbate: +2750
Brendan Shapiro: +5000
Wendell Holland: +5000
Kellyn Bechtold: +5000
Chris Noble: +5000
Libby Vincek: +5000
No One Eliminated in Episode 3: +7500

WHO WILL WIN IMMUNITY IN EPISODE 3?

Malolo Tribe: -130
Naviti Tribe: +110
No One Wins Immunity in Episode 3: +5000

WHO WILL WIN REWARD IN EPISODE 3?

Malolo Tribe: -120
Naviti Tribe: +120
No One Wins Immunity in Episode 3: +5000

WILL A HIDDEN IDOL BE PLAYED IN EPISODE 3?

Yes: +750
No: -1500

WILL ANYONE QUIT/BE REMOVED FROM ISLAND DUE TO INJURY IN EPISODE 3?

Yes: +750
No: -1500

WILL A CONTESTANT BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY IN EPISODE 3?

Yes: +210
No: -250

GENDER IDENTITY OF NEXT CONTESTANT TO BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY DURING SEASON 36?

Female: -250
Male: +210

NEXT CONTESTANT TO BE ‘PIXELATED’ DUE TO NUDITY?

Morgan Ricke: +500
Chelsea Townsend: +500
Jenna Bowman: +750
Libby Vincek: +750
Kellyn Bechtold: +900
Sebastian Noel: +900
Stephanie Johnson: +1500
Brendan Shapiro: +1500
Angela Perkins: +1500
Domenick Abbate: +2500
Chris Noble: +2500
Michael Yerger: +2500
James Lin: +2500
Bradley Kleihege: +5000
Wendell Holland: +5000
Laurel Johnson: +5000
Donathan Hurley: +5000
Desiree Afuye: +5000
No One Pixelated Due To Nudity in Season 36: +10000

In the previous three propositions pixelation must be due to accidental or intentional nudity and not due to obscene gestures or any other reason. The ‘Fantasy Survivor’ game results at Global TV will be used for grading purposes.

EPISODE 3 KEY DEMO (18-49) RATINGS

Over 1.70: -150
Under 1.70: +130

EPISODE 3 KEY DEMO (18-49) SHARE

Over 6.5: -150
Under 6.5: +130

EPISODE 3 TOTAL VIEWERS

Over 8 million: -150
Under 8 million: +130

EPISODE 3 NIELSEN RANKING (3/5/18 through 3/11/18)

Over 9.5: -150
Under 9.5: +130

About the Author: Jim Murphy

For more than 25 years, Jim Murphy has written extensively on sports betting as well as handicapping theory and practice. Jim Murphy has been quoted in media from the Wall Street Journal to REASON Magazine. Murphy worked as a radio and podcasting host broadcasting to an international audience that depended on his expertise and advice. Murphy is an odds making consultant for sports and 'non-sport novelty bets' focused on the entertainment business, politics, technology, financial markets and more.